On the Indirect Estimation Method and Application of Age-Specific Fertility Rate and Total Fertility Rate

Guangzhou Wang, China Population Information and Research Center (CPIRC)

Abstract: This paper has discussed the indirect estimation method of age-specific fertility rate and total fertility rate based on the new methods, which combined population analysis methods and the genetic algorithms together. Taking the population tabulation data of census as an example, this paper had demonstrated the process and steps for setting up the models to estimate the period age-specific fertility rate and total fertility rate. At last, this paper has pointed out the problems for the further research. Key Words: Genetic Algorithms; Age-Specific Fertility Rate; Total Fertility Rate ;Indirect Estimation

Presented in Poster Session 4: Aging, Population Trends and Methods, Religion and Gender